Saturday, April 30, 2011

Independent audit and inquiry needed into Olympic village mess

It’s the only way to find out what happened, to avoid similar mistakes as city moves forward with development of other property

Only in some parallel, political universe where land-sale prices are “aspirational” and only with some bookkeeping sleight of hand does it seem possible to conclude that Vancouver lost only $50 million on the Olympic village and not at least four times that.

In the seven days since journalists’ first technical briefing with city manager Penny Ballem and Coun. Geoff Meggs on the loss and since a follow up briefing a few days later, a great deal has been written about the numbers. But what’s lacking is certainty and trust in any of them.

Here’s a brief synopsis.

The city wrote off the nearly $180 million owed for the land cost — the so-called “aspirational” price that developer Millennium Developments contracted to pay.

It justifies that on the basis that years ago the city paid $27 million for the land and recovered $29 million from the bankrupt developer.

Missing from the city’s calculation is money spent on ground preparation, legal costs related to construction deficiencies, holding costs and infrastructure including sewer, water, shoreline improvements, walkway and community centre. Assessing the value of that, however, is controversial since some of those costs will be recovered when the city develops the remaining two-thirds of the site.

Suffice to say, no homeowner would call it a wash if they got $150 million less than the agreed price even if they’d inherited the property and paid nothing for it. And far from being soothed by city officials’ insistence that there won’t be a tax increase because the money will come from the property endowment fund, most citizens recognize that the money’s gone regardless of which pot it’s taken from. Seven days on, what’s clear is that this is one great mess. It has echoes of Montreal’s Olympic debt that took 30 years to repay, only this one lacks the tidy benefit of being able to place the blame on a single politician as Montrealers did with Jean Drapeau. What needs to happen are not more rounds of technical briefings, nighttime Twitter duels among the political cognoscenti or ill-informed debates.

What’s needed is transparency and that now seems only possible with an independent financial inquiry separate from both the city’s administrative and political wings, which seem of a single mind on the idea that the shortfall is no more than $50 million.

It cries out for the sort of forensic accounting done at the provincial and federal levels by the auditors-general and it raises the question of why Vancouver doesn’t have an auditor-general like some other big cities including Montreal.4263976

If Vancouver balks at a full-time, independent auditor-general, the provincial government ought to consider other options because even though Vancouver has the most spectacular fiscal fumble, it’s far from the only one to have them. West Vancouver citizens, for example, might have liked to know exactly how their community centre ended up costing more than double its original estimate. One option is to expand the provincial auditor-general’s mandate to include municipalities. Another option would be reinstituting the inspector of municipalities office, which was eliminated years ago in an early round of provincial government cost-cutting.

The municipal inspector had broad powers to investigate and even overturn council decisions. However, there were some flaws in the legislation that ought not to be repeated if the office is reinstated. The inspector ought to be appointed by, and report to, the legislature so that s/he is fully independent of both the provincial cabinet and the municipalities.

But a financial audit of the Olympic village alone is not enough. There needs to be an independent inquiry into the decision-making process that spanned three councils, two city managers and involved dozens of senior staff both past and present.

The second inquiry’s goal would not be to apportion blame, but to take an objective look at what decisions were made and why. Among the questions that should be addressed is whether it is appropriate for the city administration to directly oversee development projects like this one or whether development of city land ought to be done at arms’ length as Vancouver did successfully with the Fraser lands and Champlain Heights. But other decisions that also ought to be reviewed include: Larry Campbell’s Vision council determining that it would be a low-rise rather than highrise development aimed at one-third low-income, a third middle-income and a third, high-income earners; Sam Sullivan’s Non-Partisan Association council’s choice of Millennium’s high bid over Concord Pacific’s cash offer; and, Gregor Robertson’s Vision council’s decisions not to sell the social housing or go after the private assets of the developer.

With the results of both inquiries, Vancouver could then develop a best-practices guide to help ensure that the mistakes made on the 1,100 units in the Olympic village aren’t repeated as the city moves forward with the development of the remaining 23.8 acres of adjacent city-owned land or on any other land left in the property endowment fund.

Cat: Vancouver Real Estate, Vancouver Olympic Village

© Copyright (c) The Vancouver Sun

Vancouver Real Estate Prices Rising!

 

 

March 2011 Housing Market Update REBGV Vancouver Real Estate

Housing Market Update REBGV  (March 2011) – Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver

Monday, April 11, 2011

First-time buyers in major Canadian markets move to get in ahead of higher interest rates, says RE/MAX (Vancouver Real Estate)

 

BC (April 5, 2011) -- Driven by the threat of higher interest rates down the road, first-time buyers are contributing to strong upward momentum in residential housing markets across the country, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

The RE/MAX First-Time Buyers Report, highlighting trends and developments in nineteen major Canadian centres, found that low interest rates and balanced market conditions have provided significant impetus in 2011, particularly at lower price points. Just over 30 per cent of markets are reporting sales in excess of 2010 levels as a result, while almost 70 per cent have experienced an upswing in average price. Leading the country in terms of percentage increases in the number of homes sold are Western Canadian markets, including Saskatoon (up close to 15 per cent), Greater Vancouver (up close to 12 per cent), and Winnipeg (up just over 11 per cent). With an average price hike of close to 20 per cent year-to-date (February), Greater Vancouver continues to show unprecedented strength, followed by Hamilton-Burlington (eight per cent), Quebec City (seven per cent), Winnipeg (close to seven per cent), Greater Toronto (five per cent), and Greater Montreal (five per cent).

 

“With the Canadian economy on firmer footing overall, residential real estate is well-positioned moving into the traditionally busy spring market,” says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. “Consumer confidence is climbing in conjunction with economic performance, and concerns over a secondary recession fade with each passing day. The mood is cautiously optimistic as first-time buyers enter the market.”

Inventory levels, while tight in several larger centres, are more balanced overall, giving first-time buyers a good selection of housing product from which to choose. Not surprisingly, condominium apartments and town homes have become the first step for many entry-level purchasers, especially in Greater Vancouver, Victoria, Kelowna, Edmonton, Calgary, London-St. Thomas, Hamilton-Burlington, Greater Toronto, the Island of Montreal, and Halifax-Dartmouth where average prices have risen unabated in recent years.

“Despite homeownership rates approaching 70 per cent, there is clearly room for growth as entry-level buyers make their moves from coast-to-coast, undeterred by higher housing values and changes to lending criteria” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Many purchasers intent on realizing homeownership are scaling back on expectations or are willing to sacrifice location, quality and/or size to make their dream a reality – not unlike generations before them.”

  Changes to recent financing criteria have not created the anticipated run up in activity in most markets. From a financial standpoint, most rookie home buyers remain quite prudent. Those making the leap are not doing it lightly, buying within their means. While this most recent round of policy tightening will likely have a negligible effect on demand, the message is getting across.   

Affordability remains a growing concern in most markets, and—aside from first-time purchasers—no one is more in tune with that than housing planners and developers. In fact, the growing demand for reasonably-priced product is creating a shift in the country’s housing mix. That trend is expected to gain traction in coming years, as builders look to create greater options for those seeking to realize homeownership.    In recent years, builders have helped ease the move to homeownership by concentrating on intensification—condominium buildings with smaller suites and small-lot subdivisions offering detached, compact homes at a fraction of the cost of a traditional single-family home.   On the flip side, the affordability factor is also breathing new life into tired older neighborhoods, and that, in turn, is contributing to rising values. 

As prices escalate, first-time buyers are indeed spending more—some out of necessity, but others are simply in a position to do so. Unlike in years past—a greater percentage of today’s first-time buyer pool is comprised of dual-income, college or university-educated couples with solid earnings. They’re spending close to average price or slightly more to secure—in most cases—a better location or a home that will grow with them.   Yet, the fact remains that those on a tighter budget can get in for considerably less, with reasonable choices in every major market across the country.   While some may feel discouraged by eroding affordability levels, the underlying confidence in the concept of homeownership is rising.

“While market conditions are one thing that influences first-time buyers, few things trump the fundamental belief in homeownership,” says Sylvain Dansereau, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Quebec. “Today’s entry-level buyers are steadfast in their mindset. They know they have to live somewhere, but they simply don’t want to pay someone else’s mortgage. Savvy or practical, they remain a driving force. The bottom line is that the demand for entry-level product will remain steady. The role of starter homes in the marketplace is becoming ever more vital.”

Cat: Vancouver Real Estate

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Vancouver celebrates 125th birthday with street party

The City of Vancouver officially turns 125 years of age on Wednesday and thousands of people are expected to turn out for a giant street party downtown by the Olympic cauldron.

The free events are scheduled to run from 2 p.m. to 10 p.m. and include street hockey, live music, video and light installations. Vancouver Mayor and other dignitaries will also be on hand to cut up a massive birthday cake and light the Olympic cauldron.

About 8,000 people are expected at the celebrations and city staff are recommending anyone coming down take public transit, bike or walk to the outdoor plaza next to the Vancouver Convention Centre. Donations to the Food Bank are also being accepted at the site.

Aging and energy key to future

As the city celebrates its past, urban planners are already predicting what the city will be like in coming decades.

The city has frequently been ranked as one of the most livable in the world and one of the best places to visit, but two issues — energy consumption and an aging population — will have the biggest impact on Vancouver's future development, said UBC Professor of Landscape Architecture Patrick Condon.

"The over-65 demographic increases by 250 per cent," and will become the single largest population group in the city, said Condon.

'If you came back here in 50 years, the place would be recognizable certainly, but might have twice as many dwelling units.'— Professor of Landscape Architecture Patrick Condon

He said another dramatically increasing demographic will be db_Vancouver_BC__000901S-1_No_111adults who choose not to have children.

"Those two groups tend to need smaller units and seem to appreciate taking advantage of urban amenities, close to transit, easier to take care of, as opposed to large, single family homes."

Condon said the best place to put that large increase in housing would be along the city's major arteries, like Broadway, Main Street and Dunbar Street.

"That would be the most fundamental change in the city such that if you came back here in 50 years, the place would be recognizable certainly, but might have twice as many dwelling units in it as it does right now."

Condon said the other major issue influencing development in the coming decades would be energy conservation.

Vancouver is working towards a goal of cutting emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 and that means a transportation shift, he said.

"We need a virtually zero greenhouse-gas way of getting around. The transit part of that trip needs to be in some kind of electrified transit."

He said if the city and region plan properly for these two factors, we can expect to see streetcars replacing diesel buses in the coming years.

Courtesy of CBCnews.

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Canadian Lenders Increase Mortgage Rates

 

As Government bond yields rise, some banks are again raising Canada Mortgage Rates. Indications are that this action relates to concerns regarding inflation and increasing confidence in a global economic recovery.

From Tuesday, the Toronto-Dominion Bank and the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce raised their mortgage rates by 0.35 of a percentage point. This followed a statement, indicating that the greatest increases would be for loans with period terms of five to ten years.

The Royal Bank of Canada also increased its Canada Mortgage Rates by 0.35 of a percentage point, on loans over five and ten year terms. The rate for its seven-year mortgage term rose by 0.15 of a percentage point.

Five year Canadian Government bond yields, have risen sharply recently, leaping 24 basis points during last week. It is usual practice for Canada Mortgage Rates to follow these bonds closely. One of the most popular loan types with Canadian homeowners is the five year closed mortgage. This will not escape the new Canada Mortgage Rates and will rise to 5.69%.

Increased rates will apply to loans with terms of one, three and four years, rising by 0.2 of a percentage point. However, a two-year loan term will increase by 0.3 of a percentage point.

Reported possible causes for the increase in Canada Mortgage Rates, include the following observation. When traders move their investment activity from the considered safety of bonds, to equities carrying a greater risk factor, then fixed mortgage rates, which are highly influenced by the bond market.

Monday, April 4, 2011

HST and HST Rebates on the Purchase of New Housing.

THE HST

The government of British Columbia implemented the HST on July 1,2010. The HST consists of the combination of the 7% PST and the 5% GST. This combined 12% tax is called the HST.

The HST applies to all purchases of newly built residential homes and substantially renovated homes.

Used (i.e. resale) residential homes are not subject to HST.

REBATES

There are potentially 3 rebates available to purchasers of new housing.

The GST New Housing Rebate or the GST New Residential Rental Rebate will refund up to 36% of the 5% GST. A full rebate is available for homes up to $350,000.00. Between $350,000.00 to $450,000.00 is a gradual pro-rated reduction of the rebate. Homes above $450,000.00 do not qualify for any rebate of the GST.

The second rebate is the BC HST Rebate. The BC HST Rebate is 5% of the purchase price up to a maximum rebate amount of $26,250.00. Any home with a purchase price of over $525,000.00 will have a maximum BC HST Rebate of $26,250.00.

The third potential rebate is the BC PST Transitional Rebate. This rebate is to adjust for PST that was embedded in the construction of new homes before June 30,2010. This rebate only applies to new single family/detached house and does not apply to the purchase of new strata housing.

The BC PST Transitional Rebate will refund up to 2% of the purchase price of a new house depending on the level of completion as of July I, 2010. In a straight forward example, if the house was 100% complete as of July 1,2010 and the purchase price was $600,000.00, then the BC PST Transitional HST_RebateRebate would be $12,000.00.

IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT REBATES

This is important to note as, on occasion, clients assume that the above rebates are automatically adjusted for on the statement of adjustments on completion. This is incorrect.

The developer must explicitly set out in the contract that they will adjust for any rebates on the statement of adjustment upon completion. If there is no such clause, then the buyer will need to submit the rebate application themselves and wait to receive the rebate much later in the mail. This can cause problems for the buyers who are relying on the rebate adjustment to complete the purchase.

Cat: Vancouver Real Estate, HST Rebate